Sunday, October 7, 2018

GUEST POST: NFL Week 5 Picks: Crashing and Burning

Ohhh the humanity. After three weeks of gambling bliss -- reaching 31-16-1 against the spread on the season, after a sparking 12-4 showing during Week 3 --  it all came crashing back to reality. It had to, really. I couldn't possibly go through life with a permanent Cheat Carroll-chewing-gum-and-shamelessly-strutting-like-a-smug-prick look on my face. (Yes, I just wanted to share that gif for the 10,000th time.)

And yet, that's how it felt until last week's ungodly 3-10-2 performance ATS. But that's what I get for thinking Ryan Tannehill was poised to go into Foxboro and potentially strike a death blow to the Patriots dynasty -- and run to 4-0 in the process. Or trusting the Chargers and their cardboard cutout of a coach to cover a double digit spread. Or not realizing Mitch Trubisky was on the verge of greatness and set to throw 6 touchdowns against the high school-level Tampa Bay defense.

Look, I'm not going to sit here and dissect it with ya. It was ugly. I've spent the last few days researching, soul-searching, and training, a la Rocky running on the beach with Apollo to get his groove back in Rocky III.

That's the good stuff. I'm feeling reborn. Let's see if we can return to the halcyon gambling days this week.

The Picks: 

Indianapolis Colts (+10) at New England Patriots

Not off to a great start

Baltimore Ravens at Cleveland Browns (+3) 

Jacksonville Jaguars (+3) at KC Chiefs

Tennessee Titans at Buffalo Bills (+6)

New York Giants (+6.5) at Carolina Panthers

Denver Broncos at NY Jets (+1)

Atlanta Falcons at Pittsburgh Steelers (-3.5)

Green Bay Packers at Detroit Lions (-1.5) 

Miami Dolphins (+6) at Cincinnati Bengals

Oakland Raiders (+5.5) at LA Chargers

Arizona Cardinals (+3.5) at SF 49ers

Minnesota Vikings at Philadelphia Eagles (-3.5) 

LA Rams (-7.5) at Seattle Seahawks

Dallas Cowboys (+3.5) at Houston Texans

Washington Redskins at New Orleans Saints (-6) 

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